The end of cloud 1.0 is near

Google started a cloud price war and AWS and Azure are responding. The result will be the end of cloud 1.0 and the beginning of 2.0.

What is cloud 1.0?
Cloud 1.0 is all about giving customers the basics like storage, compute, api provisioning, load balancing, autoscaling, software defined networking, etc.

AWS is the undisputed winner of cloud 1.0 by haven taken the majority of the market. However prices are about to drop substantially. This will mean that compute and storage will become commodity.

Now what will Cloud 2.0 bring. It depends on who you ask. Here are some of the answers:

AWS Cloud 2.0
We are the cloud standard. You should come to us because we have abstracted every possible low-level service behind an easy to consume API. You don’t have to worry about a thing…

Google Cloud 2.0
Amazon is build on old school technology. We invented Cloud, just come to us and you will get superior technology and lightning speed. If you don’t want to pay but are willing to let us peep inside your VM then we are even willing to give cloud for free. Remember Google is good…

Azure Cloud 2.0
We are the easiest cloud to work with. If you have a Windows data centre then you can have a Windows cloud data centre in minutes.

Mom & Pops Cloud 2.0
We were cheaper than Amazon before but no longer. We are less innovative. Cash flow problem……..tut….tut…tut…crack

CTO Cloud 2.0
It is clear that having my own data centre is not a good business. Unless I need a private cloud for legal reasons, why not start using the public cloud. But which one and how can I move from one to another.

My Cloud 2.0
People need solutions that allow switching between different public and private clouds and find a common solution that is easy to use and very price competitive, ideally free.

If you want to see my Cloud 2.0 become reality and have used too many priority Cloud services, you want to take a look at what we are doing at Juju.ubuntu.com

Instant Solutions for Common Problems

Today Ubuntu officially launched Juju bundles and Juju quickstart. What does this mean? Via a Juju bundle anybody can create a blueprint solution and allow others to make instant copies. You drag and drop a bundle or you use a one line command and you can in minutes deploy a complete software stack, pre-integrated and scaled, onto any cloud or server.

Many problems can be solved this way. Just the type of solutions that are included in the below blog post show what is possible. Anything from instant SaaS integration, Big Data, programming environments, ERP, Cobol integrations, Telecom solutions, etc. can all be instantly deployed, integrated and scaled.

Check it out:

http://insights.ubuntu.com/news/juju-bundles-and-quickstart-create-an-entire-cloud-environment-in-seconds/

Making the World More Secure, Instantly…

December 23, 2013 Leave a comment

This week a new Juju Lab was launched: Instant Single Sign-on and 2-Factor Authentication. The Juju Lab is a new direction for Juju Innovation in which a community of contributors builds a revolutionizing solution for a common problem. This time the problem is how to make the world more secure instantly. Juju Labs works like Kickstarter. Either goals are met and the project becomes a full Juju solution or the project dies.

Future Juju Labs are being considered. Everything from enterprise Java auto-tuning, instantly scaling PHP, instant legacy integration, instant BI, etc. As long as it solves a common problem in an exponentially better way, creating a Juju Lab is an option.

The main problem is how can you quickly evaluate which common problem to tackle first. Any ideas are welcome…

The Ryanairs Of Telecom are Here…

December 17, 2013 Leave a comment

After years of virtually no innovation from telecom operators, 2014 will be different. Not because telecom dinosaurs have all of a sudden become lean mean innovation machines. Quite the contrary. Most operators are still focusing on rolling out THIS YEAR’s (instead of today’s) “innovative” service which will be just a copycat of some famous dotcom.

So why the excitement?
2014 will be the pivot year. The year that will be marked in history books as the year old school lost and innovators won.

The first Ryanair-like disruptive telecoms will leave their borders and start bankrupting “traditional telecoms”. Cross-platform voice/video 4G apps will reach the tipping point. Cloud Telco PaaS will be reality. Individual communication solutions or iCommunication will be a reality. Web 3.0 will include voice & video communication. NFV will be driven by non-telecom players. WAN SDN will be deployed by more than only Google, Amazon, etc. Cloud Media Streaming will reach the tipping point. Internet of things will meet Cloud will meet Big Data will meet Mobile will meet disruptive communication solutions. Early adopters paradise…

2014 will be an exciting year for those that love telecom innovation!!! Bit pipe nightmares becoming reality for others.

Telco innovators and the rest…

November 24, 2013 Leave a comment

2014 will be the year in which telecom will be split into two. The ones that understand iCommunication and the ones that don’t. iCommunication is about giving a personalized communication experience to consumers and enterprises. Low cost subscription models and freemium will be the main business models. Low-cost pay per use is still possible but not for messaging or voice traffic. The value proposition needs to be higher.

What will this mean?
Bit pipes will become a reality in Europe and possible in the US (mainly dependent on what Google and others do). Telecom operators massive head count reductions. Nokia & Blackberry will be joined by other one time big telco names. The end of the world for some. Especially for those that belief telecom is a dividend generator or a bottomless pit for license taxation…

For consumers and enterprises there will be a new world of communication possibilities. Communication will be fully integrated into back office systems, e.g. CRMs like Salesforce store all calls. Improvements in voice recognition will make talking to machines a natural interface. Managing contacts will become a breeze. Forget memorizing phone numbers…

Communication as a Service will be the big innovation. The Cloud, Big Data, IoT will meet IP communication. Whatsapp will have a bigger brother for voice and video. Unless Google and Apple surprise the market with joint IP-based communication over LTE and WiFi. Asia, Africa and Latam will have two more years but most of their operators will make the same mistakes as the European ones.

Bit pipes are not even a safe business because the Ryanair of telecom will be able to quickly pickup mobile licenses and networks of the third/forth player, the one that goes bankrupt.

Things will not look nice for the next three years for some but we all knew that it was going to come for the last 10-15 years. Any CxO that calls this an unforeseen disruptive technology should be fired on the spot. The next edition of the Innovators Dilemma does not have to go back to the last century for examples. This is a textbook case for MBA students for years to come…

Launching new telecom services daily…

November 8, 2013 1 comment

Although I changed the focus of Telruptive to move away from trying to help the telecom operators avoid becoming bit pipes, I want to give them one last chance. I will be speaking at the Telecom Application Developer Summit in Bangkok. The summary of my talk on Friday is: “How to launch new telecom services daily…”.

Sounds impossible? I will be explaining how it can be done and doing demos. So if you are working for a soon to be bit pipe and you want to try to escape this fate, then I suggest you come and see the session…

Categories: Disrup. Technology

Solving the pressing need for Linux talent…

September 17, 2013 Leave a comment

The Linux Foundation shared the below infographics recently.  Click on it and you get the associated report. The short message is, if you are an expert in Linux you are in high demand because companies don’t find enough experts due to the Cloud and Big Data boom.

Unless cloning machines are discovered later this year, quickly expanding the number of Linux experts is unlikely to happen. This means total cost of ownership for enterprises is likely to rise. This is ironic since Linux is all about open source and providing some of the most amazing solutions for free.

The obvious alternative is to focus on Microsoft products. They are relatively cheap in total cost of ownership since licenses are “payable” and average Windows skills can be easier found.

However Microsoft is loosing the server war, especially in the web application space. So this is not a winning strategy if you are going to do Cloud.

How to solve the pressing need for Linux talent?

The only possible strategy is to lower the number of experts needed per company. Larger companies always will need some but they should be focused on the “interesting high-value tasks”. This concept of interesting and high-value is key. With the number of cloud servers exploding, we can not expect the number of experts to explode.

Open source products like Puppet and Chef have helped to alleviate the pain for the more “skilled” companies. One DevOp was able to manage more than ten times as many machines as before. Unfortunately these server provisioning tools are not for the faint of heart. They  require experts that know both administration and coding.

It is time for the next generation of tools. Ubuntu, the number #1 Cloud operating system, is leading the way with Juju. If Linux wants to continue to be successful then the common problems, the boring problems, the repetitive problems, etc. should be solved. Solved by Linux gurus in such a way that we, the less IT gifted, can get instant solutions for these common problems.

We need a Linux democracy in which the lesser skilled, but unfortunately the majority, can instantly reuse best-in-class blueprint solutions. Juju is a new class of tools that gives you instant solutions. For all those common problems: scaling a web application, monitoring your infrastructure, sharding MongoDB, replicating a database, installing a Hadoop cluster, setting up continuous integration, etc. Juju can offer solutions. The individual software components have been “charmed”. A Charm allows the software to be instantly deployed, integrated and scaled. However the real revolution is just starting. Juju will have bundles pretty soon. Technically speaking, a bundle is a collection of pre-configured and integrated Charms. In lays speak, a bundle is an instant solution for a common problem. You instantly deploy a bundle [one command or drag-and-drop] and you get a blue-print solution. Since Juju is open source, the community can create as many instant solutions as there are common problems.

So if you want to scale your IT solutions without stretching neither your budget or cloning your employees and without the lock-in of any proprietary and expensive commercial software, then you should try Juju today. Play with the GUI or install Juju today.

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